Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 222.985372 251.038304 282.228432 319.655446 363.579738 413.778882 475.897657
2024-10-20 180.014502 216.440825 260.521347 318.487126 393.751276 489.652471 623.546208
2024-10-27 150.624416 188.383308 236.492833 303.496745 396.388236 523.728633 717.213678
2024-11-03 139.749898 180.977322 235.981934 316.718466 435.736436 610.804207 900.229342
2024-11-10 132.300076 176.580463 238.089069 332.708460 480.244405 712.100563 1128.127565
2024-11-17 121.752924 166.378955 230.367722 332.572336 499.414190 776.527047 1310.155155
2024-11-24 110.774801 154.276257 218.278693 323.711743 502.543843 813.907106 1451.700705
2024-12-01 101.673692 144.005837 207.735759 315.690990 505.342184 850.380003 1600.111536
2024-12-08 97.547492 140.800568 207.630503 324.509498 538.375176 948.219903 1904.849590
2024-12-15 92.350728 135.429955 203.464935 325.736682 557.500255 1022.470473 2180.471524
2024-12-22 86.348569 128.277266 195.695349 319.623364 561.577785 1066.330013 2396.613942
2024-12-29 82.172534 123.730722 191.821435 320.005751 578.309115 1140.511693 2718.407061
2025-01-05 76.676018 116.757860 183.470420 311.611631 576.886948 1175.861550 2953.341629
2025-01-12 72.882385 112.377493 179.279767 310.733993 591.368245 1252.543508 3348.660642
2025-01-19 67.370044 104.706501 168.665429 296.181364 573.893820 1246.729867 3476.635836
2025-01-26 66.340298 104.646573 171.661021 309.001015 619.735066 1414.548720 4292.225690
2025-02-02 65.687463 105.175058 175.741734 324.496935 674.653234 1623.355435 5408.872144
2025-02-09 63.053892 101.991386 172.596918 324.365054 691.663615 1728.536392 6173.373034
2025-02-16 59.601954 97.119543 165.873182 315.778920 686.058944 1763.894918 6644.790906
2025-02-23 56.507173 92.727728 159.781695 308.004944 681.481899 1801.937998 7163.470025
2025-03-02 55.466064 92.055706 160.910974 316.552043 721.721802 1999.923735 8722.532620
2025-03-09 53.692480 89.904786 158.931550 317.741305 742.092390 2136.727057 10079.043729
2025-03-16 51.309098 86.470212 154.125880 311.816530 741.413684 2197.401126 11014.537744